页岩油储层脆性指数贝叶斯叠前地震直接反演方法

作    者:张红杰1,杨 光1,吴 昊1,孙 龙1,刘智军1,高 巍2,乔传乡2,曾勇坚3
单    位:中国石油吉林油田公司地球物理勘探研究院;2 中国石油吉林油田公司勘探事业部; 3 北京普瑞斯安能源科技有限公司
基金项目:
摘    要:
裂缝参数与脆性指数的合理预测对页岩油储层勘探开发进程中的水力压裂过程起到指示作用并为研究区
关键词:页岩油储层;裂缝参数;脆性指数;贝叶斯理论;直接反演

Bayesian direct inversion method for brittleness index of shale oil reservoir based on prestack seismic data

Author's Name: ZHANG Hongjie1, YANG Guang1, WU Hao1, SUN Long1, LIU Zhijun1, GAO Wei2, QIAO Chuanxiang2, ZENG Yongjian3
Institution: 1. Institute of Geophysical Exploration, PetroChina Jilin Oilfield Company; 2. The Exploration Department, PetroChina Jilin Oilfield Company;3. Beijing Precise Energy Technology Co., Ltd
Abstract:
Reasonable prediction of fracture parameters and brittleness index plays an indicative role in the hydraulic fracturing process in the exploration and development of shale oil reservoirs and lays the foundation for the comprehensive evaluation of sweet spots in a study area. Starting from the anisotropy theory, based on the linear sliding theory, scattering theory and Born approximation theory, this paper derives the anisotropic reflection coefficient equation of HTI media containing the brittleness index of Young's modulus to Poisson's ratio, Poisson's ratio, density, quasifracture normal weakness and quasi-fracture tangential weakness. And under the Bayesian framework, the expectation maximization algorithm introduces the conditional expectation value of the implicit variable into the random simulation of the model parameters at each iteration to solve the problem that the likelihood function can not take extreme values when the posterior distribution function of the model parameters is implicit or nonlinear. Compared with the traditional method of obtaining the maximum a posteriori probability solution, the introduction of the expectation maximization algorithm can obtain more stable model parameter inversion results, and finally realize the direct prestack seismic inversion of the brittleness index and fracture parameters of shale oil reservoirs. Model testing and actual data application verify the accuracy and applicability of the inversion method proposed in this paper.
Keywords: shale oil reservoir; fracture parameters; brittleness index; Bayesian theory; direct inversion
投稿时间: 2025-05-06  
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